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Forecast issued by the Met Office on behalf of UKHSA on Friday, 06, March, 2026 at 07:48

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Overview of cold weather over the next 5 days

Some cold nights are expected across the north to start this period, but otherwise temperatures generally mild with low impact temperature thresholds not expected to be reached.

Overview of cold weather over the next 6 to 15 days

A northwest-southeast split is expected to develop across the UK during this period. The northwest is likely to see rain and strong winds, while the southeast should experience more settled conditions. Temperatures are forecast to be near to slightly above average, with the chance of overnight frosts. Low-impact thresholds are not expected to be reached.

Overview of cold weather over the next 16 to 30 days

At this stage, confidence in the details for this period remains low. Overall, temperatures are expected to be near or above average, although there is an increasing chance of some colder interludes toward the end of the month. However, there are currently no strong signals for a significant cold spell.

Region

Probability of average temperatures of 2° or below for 48 hours or more in the next 5 days (%)

Probability of average temperatures of 2° or below for 48 hours or more in the next 6–15 days (%)

Probability of average temperatures of 2° or below for 48 hours or more in the next 16–30 days (%)

General comments on weather

NE

10

10

20

Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached

NW

10

10

20

Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached

YH

10

10

20

Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached

EM

5

5

15

Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached

WM

5

5

15

Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached

EoE

5

5

15

Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached

Lon

5

5

10

Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached

SE

5

5

10

Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached

SW

5

5

10

Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached

NE = North East | NW = North West | YH = Yorkshire and The Humber | EM = East Midlands | WM = West Midlands | EoE = East of England | Lon = London | SE = South East | SW = South West

For further information, please refer to the UKHSA Adverse Weather and Health Plan

All other enquiries can be directed to enquiries@ukhsa.gov.uk