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General overview of weather conditions in relation to the hazard (Heat) next 5 days

Rain gradually clears southeastern England during Friday morning which will be followed by brighter, cooler and generally drier conditions, aside from the odd shower in northern England into the weekend. Temperatures trending colder with a north or northwesterly flow. Cyclonic conditions return from the southwest with further wet and windy conditions likely moving across the UK on Sunday and into the start of next week. The low temperature threshold for Heat Health Alerts are highly unlikely to be reached across England.

General overview of weather conditions in relation to the hazard (Heat) 6-15 days

By midweek, high pressure looks most likely brining mainly fine and dry conditions with perhaps some isolated showers in coastal regions and temperatures near normal or rather cold. Conditions probably turning more unsettled again with further rain and showers for most regions to start the following week. Further changeable weather is then indicated at the start of October, with wetter than average conditions indicated, with strong winds. Temperatures are most likely to be below average, with Heat Health Alert temperature thresholds highly unlikely to be reached.

General overview of weather conditions in relation to the hazard (Heat) 16-30 days

The probability of more settled weather increases during the second half the month with periods of dry weather developing at times with fog and low cloud could becoming more prevalent. However, confidence is fairly low and there remains a chance that wetter, more unsettled conditions could continue with strong winds at times. Temperatures are most likely to be close to or slightly below normal.

Region

Probability of reaching
low impact threshold

General comments on weather

Next 5 days

6-15 days

16-30 days

NE

5

5

5

Alert trigger criteria unlikely to be reached.

NW

5

5

5

Alert trigger criteria unlikely to be reached.

YH

5

5

5

Alert trigger criteria unlikely to be reached.

EM

5

5

5

Alert trigger criteria unlikely to be reached.

WM

5

5

5

Alert trigger criteria unlikely to be reached.

EoE

5

5

5

Alert trigger criteria unlikely to be reached.

Lon

5

5

5

Alert trigger criteria unlikely to be reached.

SE

5

5

5

Alert trigger criteria unlikely to be reached.

SW

5

5

5

Alert trigger criteria unlikely to be reached.

NE = North East | NW= North West | YH = Yorkshire and The Humber | EM = East Midlands | WM = West Midlands | EoE = East of England | Lon = London | SE = South East | SW = South West

For further information, please refer to the UKHSA Adverse Weather and Health Plan

All other enquiries can be directed to enquiries@ukhsa.gov.uk