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Forecast issued by the Met Office on behalf of UKHSA on Monday, 15, December, 2025 at 07:39

View current Weather-Health Alerting situation

Overview of cold weather over the next 5 days

The unsettled weather conditions are expected to continue, with showers or longer spells of rain and occasionally strong winds. Temperatures are likely to be near or slightly above normal, with a reduced risk of frost and winter hazards. Therefore Cold Health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

Overview of cold weather over the next 6 to 15 days

Unsettled at first, with showers or longer spells of rain and strong winds for many. There are signals for high pressure to build within the vicinity of the UK over the Christmas period, which would bring a spell of settled weather for many. Risk of overnight frost and fog. Temperatures most likely near or slightly above normal, but greater chance of slightly below normal. during settled spell. Cold Health thresholds are unlikely to be reached.

Overview of cold weather over the next 16 to 30 days

By the end of December and into the New Year, there are signals for high pressure to remain within the vicinity of the UK, which would continue to bring drier and settled conditions. Overnight frosts are likely. Temperatures are likely to remain near or slightly below the average overall. Cold health thresholds more likely to be reached.

Region

Probability of average temperatures of 2° or below for 48 hours or more in the next 5 days (%)

Probability of average temperatures of 2° or below for 48 hours or more in the next 6–15 days (%)

Probability of average temperatures of 2° or below for 48 hours or more in the next 16–30 days (%)

General comments on weather

NE

5

30

50

Cold Health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

NW

5

30

50

Cold Health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

YH

5

30

40

Cold Health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

EM

5

30

40

Cold Health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

WM

5

30

40

Cold Health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

EoE

5

30

40

Cold Health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

Lon

5

20

30

Cold Health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

SE

5

30

40

Cold Health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

SW

5

20

30

Cold Health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

NE = North East | NW = North West | YH = Yorkshire and The Humber | EM = East Midlands | WM = West Midlands | EoE = East of England | Lon = London | SE = South East | SW = South West

For further information, please refer to the UKHSA Adverse Weather and Health Plan

All other enquiries can be directed to enquiries@ukhsa.gov.uk