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Forecast issued by the Met Office on behalf of UKHSA on Monday, 15, September, 2025 at 07:34

View current Weather-Health Alerting situation

Overview of hot weather over the next 5 days

Unsettled, with wet and windy spells interspersed with drier, brighter interludes. Temperatures will be a little either side of average by day, but mild overnight midweek. Despite this, temperatures are not expected to challenge heat health thresholds.

Overview of hot weather over the next 6 to 15 days

Drier and more settled weather most likely developing for a time in late September, with a greater incidence of mainly overnight and morning fogs than of late. Near or below average are most probable at first, perhaps with some early-season rural frosts, before temperatures perhaps trend nearer average towards month-end. There are no signs of heat heath thresholds being realised.

Overview of hot weather over the next 16 to 30 days

Conditions becoming very uncertain by early October but, overall, probably becoming more changeable. Heat health thresholds are very unlikely to be reached by this stage of the year, and there is no currently no sign of anything exceptional occurring.

Region

Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 5 days (%)

Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 6–15 days (%)

Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 16–30 days (%)

General comments on weather

NE

5

5

5

Heat health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

NW

5

5

5

Heat health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

YH

5

5

5

Heat health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

EM

5

5

5

Heat health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

WM

5

5

5

Heat health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

EoE

5

5

5

Heat health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

Lon

5

5

5

Heat health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

SE

5

5

5

Heat health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

SW

5

5

5

Heat health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

NE = North East | NW = North West | YH = Yorkshire and The Humber | EM = East Midlands | WM = West Midlands | EoE = East of England | Lon = London | SE = South East | SW = South West

For further information, please refer to the UKHSA Adverse Weather and Health Plan

All other enquiries can be directed to enquiries@ukhsa.gov.uk