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Forecast issued by the Met Office on behalf of UKHSA on Monday, 27, July, 2026 at 14:21

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Overview of hot weather over the next 5 days

A cloudier day for most areas on Monday with patchy rain for the north/west, brighter in the south/east. Cloudier, more unsettled conditions persist in the the NW but turning wamer and drier through Tuesday with temperatures above the low threshold in the south and east. Becoming hot on Wednesday with temperatures reaching medium thresholds in the south and east, low more widely. Cooling on Thursday onwards with low thresholds breached in places to the south and east. Isolated showers possible later in the week.

Overview of hot weather over the next 6 to 15 days

The NW/SE split remaining initally with brighter, warmer, drier conditions in the south but likely below heat thresholds. Likely to turn more unsettled across the country through the weekend and into the new week then with potential for low pressures bringing rain and stronger winds at times but low confidence in detail. Remaining changeable but with temperatures remaining above average and with nearby continental Europe remaining hot potential for low thresholds to be reached in the south and east .

Overview of hot weather over the next 16 to 30 days

A changeable start is likely, with showery spells, perhaps thunderstorms. However, rainfall is likely to remain below average, with further periods of drier and warm weather between any of these spells. Drier intervals are also likely to become longer and more frequent later in August. These will continue to bring above average temperatures and a risk of further hot weather, most likely in the south.

Region

Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 5 days (%)

Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 6–15 days (%)

Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 16–30 days (%)

General comments on weather

NE

30

20

20

Temperatures likely to remain below thresholds

NW

40

30

20

Temperatures likely to remain below thresholds

YH

70

30

30

Daytime temperatures likely to breach threshold on Wednesday then cooling towards the weekend.

EM

90

40

40

Daytime temperatures expected to breach threshold on Wednesday then cooling towards the weekend.

WM

90

40

40

Daytime temperatures expected to breach threshold on Wednesday then cooling towards the weekend.

EoE

100

55

50

Daytime temperatures expected to breach threshold on Tuesday/Wednesday then cooling towards the weekend.

Lon

100

55

50

Daytime temperatures expected to breach threshold on Tuesday/Wednesday then cooling towards the weekend.

SE

100

55

50

Daytime temperatures expected to breach threshold on Tuesday/Wednesday then cooling towards the weekend.

SW

90

50

40

Daytime temperatures expected to breach threshold on Wednesday then cooling towards the weekend.

NE = North East | NW = North West | YH = Yorkshire and The Humber | EM = East Midlands | WM = West Midlands | EoE = East of England | Lon = London | SE = South East | SW = South West

For further information, please refer to the UKHSA Adverse Weather and Health Plan

All other enquiries can be directed to enquiries@ukhsa.gov.uk


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