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Forecast issued by the Met Office on behalf of UKHSA on Friday, 18, September, 2026 at 10:26

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Overview of hot weather over the next 5 days

A changeable pattern remains across the UK over the next few days, before a change to more settled conditions across much of England into early next week. Temperatures are currently around average, but are expeced to rise above average early next week, with many places becoming warm and humid, especially in the south. Some uncertainty by Tuesday with the progression of a cold front, which may introduce cooler conditions. Heat health thresholds are unlikely to be reached.

Overview of hot weather over the next 6 to 15 days

We are likely to see a contination of the changeable pattern seen recently, with areas of low pressure bringing frontal systems, interspersed with brief settled spells of weather, associated with ridges of high pressure, mainly across the south and east. Temperatures are likely to be above normal, with some brief warm and humid spells, especially in the south early in the period. Heat health thresholds are unlikely to be reached.

Overview of hot weather over the next 16 to 30 days

Changeable and perhaps unsettled weather may become more frequent as we move into October, with periods of rain and stronger winds becoming more likely to spread from the west, although with some transient drier and brighter spells are likely. Temperatures are likely to remain above normal overall, though brief cooler interludes are also possible. No heat health thresholds are likely to be reached.

Region

Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 5 days (%)

Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 6–15 days (%)

Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 16–30 days (%)

General comments on weather

NE

10

10

10

Temperatures expected to be below thresholds.

NW

10

10

10

Temperatures expected to be below thresholds.

YH

10

10

10

Temperatures expected to be below thresholds.

EM

20

20

10

Temperatures expected to be below thresholds.

WM

10

10

10

Temperatures expected to be below thresholds.

EoE

30

30

10

Temperatures nearest heat health thresholds on Monday, but only briefly, perhaps reaching 25C.

Lon

30

30

10

Temperatures nearest heat health thresholds on Monday, but only briefly, perhaps reaching 25C.

SE

30

30

10

Temperatures nearest heat health thresholds on Monday, but only briefly, perhaps reaching 25C.

SW

20

20

10

Temperatures expected to be below thresholds.

NE = North East | NW = North West | YH = Yorkshire and The Humber | EM = East Midlands | WM = West Midlands | EoE = East of England | Lon = London | SE = South East | SW = South West

For further information, please refer to the UKHSA Adverse Weather and Health Plan

All other enquiries can be directed to enquiries@ukhsa.gov.uk