Extreme Weather Alerts
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Forecast issued by the Met Office on behalf of UKHSA on Monday, 24, August, 2026 at 10:13
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Overview of hot weather over the next 5 days
Temperatures expected to be just above-average through the week, with Wednesday likely to be the warmest day in the south with some warm evenings likely Tuesday to Thursday in the south. Dry and settled on Monday before more unsettled conditions bring warmer air to southern areas from Tuesday but unlikely to reach low thresholds. with moderate winds and showery and possibly thundery rain acting to mitigate the warmer temperatures..
Overview of hot weather over the next 6 to 15 days
Remaining unsettled with temperatures near normal, perhaps slightly above into the bank holiday weekend, but with little indication for temperatures approaching low thresholds. Into the first week of September, High pressure looks likely to dominate bringing drier and more settled conditions and possible breaching Low threshold in the southeast. A return to unsettled conditions with potential for wetter weather and temperatures around average for the rest of the period.
Overview of hot weather over the next 16 to 30 days
Low confidence in this period, but with climatology norm most likely and a NW/SE split developing. This will lead to more unsettled and cooler conditions in the northwest and more settled, drier conditions in the southeast. There remains potential for further warm/hot spells, particularly in the south/southeast but this remains highly uncertain.
|
Region |
Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 5 days (%) |
Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 6–15 days (%) |
Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 16–30 days (%) |
General comments on weather |
|
NE |
10 |
10 |
5 |
Heat health thresholds not expected to be breached. |
|
NW |
10 |
10 |
5 |
Heat health thresholds not expected to be breached. |
|
YH |
10 |
10 |
10 |
Heat health thresholds not expected to be breached. |
|
EM |
20 |
20 |
20 |
Heat health thresholds not expected to be breached. |
|
WM |
20 |
20 |
10 |
Heat health thresholds not expected to be breached. |
|
EoE |
30 |
30 |
30 |
Low Heat health thresholds may be breached. But low confidence. |
|
Lon |
40 |
30 |
30 |
Low Heat health thresholds may be breached. But low confidence |
|
SE |
40 |
30 |
30 |
Low Heat health thresholds may be breached. But low confidence. |
|
SW |
30 |
20 |
20 |
Low Heat health thresholds may be breached. But low confidence |
NE = North East | NW = North West | YH = Yorkshire and The Humber | EM = East Midlands | WM = West Midlands | EoE = East of England | Lon = London | SE = South East | SW = South West
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